We Illinois
W-L: (23- 6) PR = 94.8069Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 A WESTM **-46 1111 A No Illinois MA ( 7-24, 92.3) 68-50 1117 A Chicago St NE C ( 6-20, 91.1) 86-75 1120 A Bradley MV (19-13, 94.2) 84-77 1126 H Iowa B10 (27- 7, 98.0) 69-86 1204 A STFRI 90-55 1207 A Drake MV (12-20, 93.3) 80-74 1209 A COLUM 75-37 1218 A Lindenwood OV L (20- 8, 94.6) 74-65 1222 A SIUE OV S (15-13, 93.4) 75-51 101 H UT Martin OV U (11-16, 93.0) 14-86 103 A SE MO St OV (13-16, 93.3) 58-51 108 A Tenn St OV ( 5-22, 92.2) 76-59 110 A Tenn Tech OV T (14-12, 93.6) 77-60 113 A Ea Illinois OV E ( 4-25, 91.9) 74-61 117 A Little Rock OV L (13-14, 93.6) 75-59 122 H Morehead St OV M (16-14, 93.7) 53-63 129 A SE MO St OV (13-16, 93.3) 69-55 131 A UT Martin OV U (11-16, 93.0) 80-54 205 A Tenn Tech OV T (14-12, 93.6) 68-53 207 H Tenn St OV ( 5-22, 92.2) 77-87 210 A Ea Illinois OV E ( 4-25, 91.9) 93-49 212 A Little Rock OV L (13-14, 93.6) 84-73 221 A Morehead St OV M (16-14, 93.7) 74-53 226 A SIUE OV S (15-13, 93.4) 79-61 228 H Lindenwood OV L (20- 8, 94.6) 49-50 306 A SE MO St OV (13-16, 93.3) 74-66 307 A Lindenwood OV L (20- 8, 94.6) 71-65 320 H No Carolina ACC (28- 8, 97.4) 51-82
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1111 A No Illinois 68-50 18 2 0.00
1117 A Chicago St 86-75 11 4 0.00
1120 A Bradley 84-77 7 1 1.41
1126 H Iowa 69-86 -17 -3 0.00
1207 A Drake 80-74 6 1 0.55
1218 A Lindenwood 74-65 9 0 1.85
1222 A SIUE 75-51 24 1 0.60
101 H UT Martin 14-86 -72 2 - -3.80
103 A SE MO St 58-51 7 1 0.52
108 A Tenn St 76-59 17 3 0.00
110 A Tenn Tech 77-60 17 1 0.78
113 A Ea Illinois 74-61 13 3 0.00
117 A Little Rock 75-59 16 1 0.80
122 H Morehead St 53-63 -10 1 - -3.09
129 A SE MO St 69-55 14 1 0.52
131 A UT Martin 80-54 26 2 0.22
205 A Tenn Tech 68-53 15 1 0.78
207 H Tenn St 77-87 -10 3 -- -4.00
210 A Ea Illinois 93-49 44 3 0.00
212 A Little Rock 84-73 11 1 0.80
221 A Morehead St 74-53 21 1 0.93
226 A SIUE 79-61 18 1 0.60
228 H Lindenwood 49-50 -1 0 -1.17
306 A SE MO St 74-66 8 1 0.52
307 A Lindenwood 71-65 6 0 1.85
320 H No Carolina 51-82 -31 -3 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H Tenn St 77-87 -10 3 -- -4.00 101 H UT Martin 14-86 -72 2 - -3.80 122 H Morehead St 53-63 -10 1 - -3.09 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A No Illinois ( 7-24, 92.3) 68-50 -7.57 3.39 0.01 1.17 7.93
3 A Chicago St ( 6-20, 91.1) 86-75 -8.82 2.14 0.01 1.17 5.01
3 A Bradley (19-13, 94.2) 84-77 -5.70 5.27 0.01 1.17 12.31
3 H Iowa (27- 7, 98.0) 69-86 -1.94 9.03 -0.01 1.17 -1.14
3 A Drake (12-20, 93.3) 80-74 -6.55 4.41 0.01 1.17 10.31
3 A Lindenwood (20- 8, 94.6) 74-65 -5.26 5.70 0.01 1.17 13.34
3 A SIUE (15-13, 93.4) 75-51 -6.50 4.46 0.01 1.17 10.42
3 H UT Martin (11-16, 93.0) 14-86 -6.89 4.07 -0.01 1.17 -4.03
3 A SE MO St (13-16, 93.3) 58-51 -6.59 4.37 0.01 1.17 10.23
3 A Tenn St ( 5-22, 92.2) 76-59 -7.71 3.25 0.01 1.17 7.61
3 A Tenn Tech (14-12, 93.6) 77-60 -6.33 4.63 0.01 1.17 10.84
3 A Ea Illinois ( 4-25, 91.9) 74-61 -7.99 2.97 0.01 1.17 6.97
3 A Little Rock (13-14, 93.6) 75-59 -6.30 4.66 0.01 1.17 10.90
3 H Morehead St (16-14, 93.7) 53-63 -6.18 4.78 -0.01 1.17 -3.61
3 A SE MO St (13-16, 93.3) 69-55 -6.59 4.37 0.01 1.17 10.23
3 A UT Martin (11-16, 93.0) 80-54 -6.89 4.07 0.01 1.17 9.53
3 A Tenn Tech (14-12, 93.6) 68-53 -6.33 4.63 0.01 1.17 10.84
3 H Tenn St ( 5-22, 92.2) 77-87 -7.71 3.25 -0.01 1.17 -4.50
3 A Ea Illinois ( 4-25, 91.9) 93-49 -7.99 2.97 0.01 1.17 6.97
3 A Little Rock (13-14, 93.6) 84-73 -6.30 4.66 0.01 1.17 10.90
3 A Morehead St (16-14, 93.7) 74-53 -6.18 4.78 0.01 1.17 11.19
3 A SIUE (15-13, 93.4) 79-61 -6.50 4.46 0.01 1.17 10.42
3 H Lindenwood (20- 8, 94.6) 49-50 -5.26 5.70 -0.01 1.17 -3.07
3 A SE MO St (13-16, 93.3) 74-66 -6.59 4.37 0.01 1.17 10.23
3 A Lindenwood (20- 8, 94.6) 71-65 -5.26 5.70 0.01 1.17 13.34
3 H No Carolina (28- 8, 97.4) 51-82 -2.48 8.48 -0.01 1.17 -1.45
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181.74
|
winning pts = 199.5419 losing points = -17.8035
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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